Saturday, 25 July 2015

Commodity Overview 25 July 2015....updated on 26 July 2015

Though weekly outlook for most commodities remain weak and expecting some uprun followed by down trend continuation.....

But Friday's low might be a bottom for all commodities.....still not sure .....but need to see how much upside Gold and Silver goes.....It might be reversal of downtrend.....

SO...KEEP TIGHT STOPLOSS AND TRADE SAFELY


Gold

Weekly outlook for Gold remains weak.....

Gold has some what sustained below 24800 (24786) after hitting 24821 as day's high....

As suggested before ( Break of 24800 will take gold much deeper)....Gold though had rallied on Friday to upside.....It is still highly bearish.....If on Monday it continues upside then 25910-25970, 25030-25035  are resistance zones from where it may reverse and continue its fall towards much lower target....if not It may reverse from 25200-25400 zone( Target can be seen as low as USD 957-960 in Comex Gold)......It may take support next week at 24200-24030 levels and can give some upside rally like Friday......Gold has not yet bottomed out....But we will see how it behaves at 24200-24030 levels.....( Comex Gold 1050 levels).....

It may consolidate at these levels for some time to give breakout at these levels which may take some time....

Final bottom for Gold may be near 23000 levels ( Comex gold 957-960 levels) from where it may bounce back/ reverse heavily and break all time high in coming years.....

Base Metals:

Remains sell on rise...some upside movement is expected on Monday followed ....weekly outlook is down side continuation....

Zinc has broken 128 levels and showing down trend now....it has support at 125-124-121...and immediate resistance at 126.85-127.70-129.... Zinc next week may show slight upside move and continue down trend for weekly target at or around 121....Zinc in long run might be heading for 105.70 as final target ....


Lead is also in down trend now and is heading for 108>>105.80>>103>>100 final target 85.60....watch above each level as breakout levels....


Aluminium is heading for 99 minus target...92.10-91.60
 
Copper is in down trend and heading for much lower target near 278-280.....( again it will take few months)... Copper on upside resistance at 244-248-253 region...


Crude:

Crude has ( Hopefully) given a break below 3200 and so now below 3275 as SL sell on rise for short term TGT near 3100-3030 and long term TGT 2550 or may be more down...

NG:  NG is weak and remains sell on rise....NG is heading for targets near 152 minus ( 147)....but in between it will take supports at 170-171 and then 155-154-147

Sell around 183...but it need break of 177 level.....



DO NOT TRADE WITH PROPER STOPLOSS.....ABOVE ARE SIMPLY MY VIEWS AND MARKET MAY BEHAVE DIFFERENTLY....
( For any queries please call for free advice)

Tuesday, 21 July 2015

Crude : Sell Crude only below 3150....

It is not breaking 3200....It seems we may see short term uptrend for a while....

Stay long above 3200....on closing basis

Gold and Silver : This week Gold and Silver may not break yesterrday's low

Gold may bounce back above 25050 till 25090-25400-25480.....Silver 34700+....

But now Gold and Silver are showing great amount of weakness....and Positional traders can take Sell positions at some higher levels for much lower targets....

Monday, 20 July 2015

Gold Alert: As told before many times....Gold will not fall much unless it trades below 24800...

Gold is weak only below 24800.....Positional traders can stay long with SL 24800 and wait.....

If Gold breaks 24800 then sell for much lower TGTs....followers will be informed by sms/e-mail

Positional traders : Let the market settle for today....take positions tomorrow....

Crude is expiring ....so we may see short covering today....don't sell crude today

Small traders may buy gold and silverand crude on dips and cover quickly.....Trend remains down though....trade safe with SL

Sunday, 19 July 2015

Important Note on Crude : Time to make good money in crude.....

After a breakout of 3800 Crude has been making Lower Highs and  Lower Lows....showing a strong down trend ......

SELL CRUDE AT 3247-3251....OR SELL BELOW 3180.....

CRUDE MAY FACE SUPPORT AT NEAR 3000 LEVELS IN BETWEEN AND MAY SHOW SOME CORRECTION TILL 3200 LEVELS AGAIN....BUT IT WILL EVENTUALLY BREAK 3000.....REMEMBER TGT 1700 IS LONG TERM NOT SHORT TERM....SHORT TERM TGT 3000

Keep selling crude on rise....It will drop more and more towards 1700 levels in coming months....Surely there will be spikes in between but it is not the point of worry.....Crude is very weak and in down trend for sure.....

Good luck and enjoy the down trend...

Saturday, 18 July 2015

Commodity overview - 18 July 2015 Updated ON 19th July 2015

Gold

Gold has some what sustained around 25500 ( previous low)....I have bought Gold at 25480 with SL 25460....If Gold breaks 25460 then I will sell for much lower targets 25350, 25270....or more down...

I feel that Gold has bottomed out ( Not very sure) and now will start uptrend for TGT near 29000-29120 and may be ( Not sure) near 30300....But 25800-25900 levels are very crucial for this ...Gold has to break above these levels for these targets.....

But Gold will then fall heavily after topping out at 29120-30333 ( or any levels above 28500)....Gold then can fall till 20000 minus levels (but not essentially 18000 and below.....Never it will go till these levels).....This will be again very good buying levels for Much Much higher levels which will break all time High of Gold 35074....

Base Metals:

Zinc and Lead showing uptrend .....But on Friday - Zinc failed to break above 132 and Lead failed to break above 117 is a bit of worry.....Zinc may reverse from 129.10-129.20 or 128.20-128.40 levels for upside targets near 150 and break of 154 can take it to 170+ levels....

But It might show down trend in case of no reversal....trade with strict SL if on buy side.....

On Monday if it breaks Friday's low then we may see down trend continuation for new low....

Safe traders buy above 134.50.......or sell below 126

Lead may reverse from 115.10 levels for upside targets near 121.70 and then break above will take it to 133.80-141.25.....But if no reversal is shown at these levels it may fall down.....


Safe traders should buy above 117.20.....or sell below 112.50


On Monday if it breaks Friday's low then we may see down trend continuation for new low....

Aluminium also failed to break above 107 on Friday.....Buy only above 107.....and watch 105-104 support zone for reversal or breakdown level .....Above 107 target is 111-112 and below 104 TGT near 99


On Monday if it breaks Friday's low then we may see down trend continuation for new low.... 
Copper is in down trend and heading for much lower target near 278-280.....( again it will take few months)... I am selling on rise....Copper now may not go above 354-358-362 levels.....I will keep SL 358 and add some more selling positions at 354 again if it comes....


Crude:

Crude has ( Hopefully) given a break below 3200 and so now below 3275 as SL sell on rise for short term TGT near 3100-3030 and long term TGT 2550 or may be more down...

NG:  NG is weak and remains sell on rise....NG is heading for targets near 152 minus ( 147)....but in between it will take supports at 170-171 and then 155-154-147



DO NOT TRADE WITH PROPER STOPLOSS.....ABOVE ARE SIMPLY MY VIEWS AND MARKET MAY BEHAVE DIFFERENTLY....
( For any queries please call for free advice)

Wednesday, 8 July 2015

Crude : I am buying on dips


Booked half lots and carrying half of all Base metals with profit....Bought yesterday and today....


Commodity Overview....

I am still of the view :

I am buying base metals on every dip.....
Opened buy position in Crude .....
Selling Copper on every rise.....
Will buy Gold only Above 26200
Selling NG on every rise.....

Tuesday, 7 July 2015

Bought Aluminium @ 105.90 SL??? TGT 110+

Bought Zinc and Lead again...

sTAY lONG IN gOLD ABOVE 26280 WITH SL BELOW 26180

Monday, 6 July 2015

Crude: Buy Crude above 3400 for TGT 3620....Or Buy near 3350

This is only correction call....Crude is highly bearish and will fall heavily....

Gold : Hold all Buy positions with Strict SL 26180 TGT1 26300, 26400, 26540

If Gold gets below 26150 then sell for TGT 26050

Gold :

Market is going down but with volumes are very low....this indicate that we may ( We may) see sharp reversal any time.....and Gold can show uptrend

Those who have short positions should maintain strict stoploss...

Zinc, Lead, Aluminium - buy call S hit....Exit


Sunday, 5 July 2015

Gold: Gold may show some upward movement till 26580-26640-26690 levels....

We may see reversal and continuation of downward trend from any of these levels.....

If we get a breakout of 26700 and close any day above this then we may have a uptrend....

Crude - Below 3500 may fall 3400-3350....watch these level ....crude may reverse from this level for more upside target.....

If break and sustain below 3350 then we may see more down target....but I feel Crude will go more upside.....I will look buying opportunity around 3400-3350 area.....

Thursday, 2 July 2015

Above 178 NG may touch 188-189


Buy Zinc CMP 128.60 SL below 128.20 TGT 131+

Stay Long in Aluminium for TGT 110+

Gold Sold @ 26340 Coverd at 26250....

Now Wait for some upside and then sell Gold again.....

If hold above 26250 then Buy with sl 26250 for TGT 26350-26430